Our Mission Statement

Our Mission Statement: To deliver consistent, ongoing and valuable information to clients to make them intelligent and educated real estate wise.

Friday, March 23, 2012

Time To Opt For Fixed Rate, BMO Says

Mortgage rates: Time to opt for fixed, not variable rate, BMO says By Susan Pigg | Fri Mar 23 2012

Fixed-rated mortgages now make more sense than variable, both as a way to keep costs in check and reduce worries about consumer-debt levels, says a report by BMO Capital markets.

“There are mounting signs that the tide is indeed turning for rates, especially with the U.S. economy finally getting back on its feet,” says the report entitled Time to say Goodbye . . . to Variable.

Government of Canada bond yields have jumped more than 50 basis points in the last three months alone, signalling that low interest rates may soon be on the rise as the U.S., and even the global economy, start to turn around, BMO notes.

Rising inflation and solid demand for commodities from emerging markets, coupled with global government debt, increase the risk that the Bank of Canada could start raising interest rates aggressively, the report says.

Related: Toronto housing market: Bidding wars are back

“Considering the likely upward trend in interest rates as the global recovery picks up speed in 2012, this may be one of those rare periods when a fixed rate turns out to be the superior choice.”

BMO is now offering a five-year fixed rate mortgage, under certain conditions, as low as 2.99 per cent over five years or 3.99 over 10 years. That compares to a variable rate of 3.10 per cent.

Mortgage broker Steve Garganis said he’s getting lots of calls from clients wanting to know if they should lock in, but warns the answer isn’t simple.

If they’re fortunate to have rates that at one point hit 2.25 per cent or less, he’s telling them to stick with variable since most five-year fixed are 3.19 at best, a meaning the payment on a $200,000 mortgage with a 25-year amortization would be $967 rather than $872.

But something needs to happen to cool the overheated housing market, especially in Toronto, Garganis notes, echoing the words of federal finance minister Jim Flaherty, who has repeatedly warned Canadians about the need to cut record levels of household debt.

Related: Why we chose a new house over resale

“I’m a bit concerned about the market,” says Garganis. “Multiple offers means the market is too hot, prices are too high. It’s a bit too hot for me.”

Flaherty stressed Thursday that banks shouldn’t be relying on Ottawa to further tighten mortgage lending rules and are free to act on their own. He said he wants to see the market “correct itself, if it can.”

“I find it a bit odd that some of the bank executives are taking the position that the minister of finance or the government somehow should tell them how to run their business,” Flaherty said at an event near Ottawa Thursday, according to Bloomberg.

BMO has been criticized for deeply discounting rates to 2.99 per cent for a five-year mortgage, further encouraging people to borrow who may not be able to afford to pay $1,164 a month on that $200,000 mortgage if rates climb back up to, say, 5 per cent.

But BMO deputy chief economist Doug Porter stressed that if Ottawa has concerns, “they have the means at their disposal to change interest rates — they have control over the most important interest rate out there, the Bank of Canada overnight rate.”

Locking in to a fixed-rate mortgage would go a long way to reduce concerns that homebuyers could be at risk if interest rates start rising.

Related: Is home ownership really a smart investment

“I would make the argument that locking in a mortgage for five or 10 years, with a 25-year amortization, would alleviate concerns and strengthen consumer finances.”

Monday, March 12, 2012

If House Prices Fall, - What To Expect!

Excerpts from the Toronto Star
Olive: Canadian real estate prices are falling – not the sky Published On Mon Mar 12 2012

By David OliveBusiness Columnist

Everything in moderation.

Recent homebuyers can’t be cheered by forecasts of a looming slump in house prices so soon after paying record prices in what may be the tail end of a 13-year-long Canadian housing boom.

But hold the Prozac.

First, while house prices are widely forecast to soften this year, no one’s expecting a U.S.-style crash of the sort that had prices in overheated markets like Florida, California and Arizona plunging by 70 to 90 per cent between 2007 and 2009.

That cataclysm set off defaults, foreclosures, a Wall Street meltdown, and the global Great Recession. By contrast, expect prices in admittedly overheated Canadian markets – conspicuously the GTA and Vancouver – to ease by 5 per cent to 10 per cent this year. And then to recover and begin making gains over purchase prices in 2013.

There’s an unduly alarmist tone to the latest forecasts of declining Canadian house prices. The headlines give one the impression of an imminent sharp fall.

A recent Maclean’s article linking patterns in Canadian residential real estate activity with record household indebtedness is headlined, “Time to panic about the housing market.”

Even a house fire isn’t something to panic over. You’ll just get in the way of the firefighters.

What we’re actually witnessing is a competent effort by the powers that be to prevent a torrid escalation in property sales and prices. Ottawa has been working on this for two years now, with frequent warnings to Canadians by the Bank of Canada and the federal finance minister to ease up on debt-financed consumer spending, including house purchases.

Mark Carney, the Bank governor, must have conspicuously warned at least half a dozen times over the past 18 months that today’s low interest rates “won’t last forever.” He should know, since he and his Bank colleagues set them. And the Bank has been keeping rates very low – a temptation to over-indulge in credit – in order to spur growth in Ontario’s ailing manufacturing sector.

Commercial banks have joined this coordinated effort to tamp down prices, tightening their lending standards to keep folks who can’t afford to carry a mortgage from attempting to do so. Meanwhile, since January they’ve also been engaged in a price war on mortgage rates that has made house ownership more affordable for existing mortgagees and prospective creditworthy buyers.

That’s the opposite of what U.S., U.K. and Spanish banks did in force-feeding mortgages in the 2000s to millions of buyers with no down payment, no collateral, no or little income, and a poor credit history.

The collateral damage from easing the pain with low interest rates for a Canadian manufacturing heartland that has received repeated blows to the gut since the early 2000s, long before the Great Recession accelerated the layoffs, is that money has arguably been too “cheap” for too long elsewhere in the economy.

That was the mistake, one of the biggest in central banking history, that Alan Greenspan, then chairman of the U.S. Federal Reserve Board, made in keeping rates near zero for years after the 9/11 attacks and the mild recession that followed. Which in turn spurred an unprecedented U.S. housing boom that ended in tragedy, with more than eight million Americans abruptly losing their jobs in 2008-10.

It may seem counterintuitive to wish for a slowdown in housing or any other (legal) market.

Yet when you consider that Toronto has in recent years been tied with Atlanta as the fastest-growing city in North America, adding the equivalent of a Calgary to its population every decade, you get a perspective on rising municipal costs that most city councillors and certainly the mayor don’t appreciate.

At 158 structures, Toronto has more skyscrapers and condo towers under construction than any North American city. The three runners-up combined – New York, Chicago and Miami – have 94. Time to apply the brakes.

It isn’t a legacy of wasteful spending that has the GTA in a financial bind. It’s building out municipal services to accommodate so many newcomers.

Cooling-off periods in Toronto property prices have characterized the GTA since the end of the Second World War, making it one of the most stable and lucrative housing markets in the world. What’s happening with prices today is no different. And this has kept Toronto relatively affordable for house buyers even as prices have steadily risen with only brief interruptions over the decades.

All movements go too far. Speaking of which, houses in downtown Detroit have hit rock bottom at $14,000 for a detached three-bedroom. So if the impulse in you to roll the dice on house purchases cannot be denied, think about picking up a six-pack of Motown properties whose price has nowhere to go but up.

Friday, March 9, 2012

2.99% Interest Rate Mortgage Is Back!

Excerpts from Globe and Mail
Banks’ mortgage war may lure new homeowners

richard blackwell AND grant robertson
From Friday's Globe and Mail
Published Thursday, Mar. 08, 2012 7:09PM EST
Last updated Friday, Mar. 09, 2012 10:38AM EST

Canadians are getting another chance to sign a mortgage at historically low rates, and for some it may be enough to push them to take a leap in the overheated real estate market.

On Thursday, Toronto-Dominion Bank, (TD-T82.170.470.58%) Royal Bank of Canada (RY-T56.980.050.09%) and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CM-T75.10-1.01-1.33%) trimmed the rate on four-year mortgages to 2.99 per cent – following Bank of Montreal’s (BMO-T57.780.270.47%) move on Wednesday to cut its five-year mortgage rate to the same level. BMO also chopped its 10-year rate to 3.99 per cent.

More related to this story
•Toronto-Dominion slashes mortgage rate
•Rob Carrick's Reader: Mortgages: Go long or w-a-a-ay long
•Fat consumer debt biggest risk in Canada, Mark Carney says

Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Home Ownership Becoming More Affordable Despite Rising Debt

Excerpts
Home ownership becoming more affordable despite rising debt

By Julian Beltrame | Wed Mar 7 2012
Comment (3)
Recommend (0)

OTTAWA—Despite ongoing concerns about household debt, home ownership is becoming more affordable in Canada, not less, says new research by the Royal Bank.

RBC’s latest report says home affordability actually improved in the final months of 2011 for the second consecutive quarter, thanks to softening house prices and income gains.

Owning a home in Canada now takes up as much of pre-tax income as it did a year ago, even though household indebtedness has continued to rise and is now at a record high 153 per cent of disposable income.

Ownership even became more affordable in the ultra-expensive Vancouver market, although it remains the dearest place in Canada to own a home.

“The improvement in affordability was modest for the most part, but still significant enough to dial back the deterioration that impacted the market in spring last year,” said RBC chief economist Craig Wright in a release issued Wednesday morning.

“At this point, housing in Canada is essentially as affordable as it was a year ago, and only slightly less affordable on average than it has been over the long term.”

The study shows affordability rates vary widely depending on the market. Vancouver’s rate is down by 4.6 points to 86 per cent, by far the least affordable market in Canada. Next highest is Toronto at 52.2 per cent.

Other ratings were Ottawa (40.9), Montreal (40.1) Calgary (36.7) and Edmonton (32.8).

RBC defines affordability as the proportion of pre-tax household income needed to service the costs of owning as specific type of home. A ranking of 50 per cent means that a household was spending half its pre-tax income on mortgage, utilities and property taxes.

Earlier this week, Finance Minister Jim Flaherty warned Canadians again about taking on too much debt and said he was particularly concerned about the condo market, which has been particularly robust in Vancouver and Toronto.

Acknowledging that there had been recent moderation in housing, Flaherty nonetheless said high debt was a worry.

“I again encourage Canadians to be careful in the amount of debt they take on in terms of residential mortgages because (interest) rates will go up some day,” he said.

Bank of Canada governor Mark Carney has issued similar cautions, while such global institutions as the International Monetary Fund have estimated Canada’s market to be 10 per cent overvalued.

TD Bank economist Derek Burleton said it was time for Flaherty to rein in borrowers by reducing the maximum amortization period to 25 years from 30, which he said would tamper housing but not enough to cause damage. Flaherty, who has tightened rules on three occasions since 2006, gave no hints he was preparing to move a fourth time.

In a forecast issued Monday, the Canadian Real Estate Association said it expects the average price of a home will decline by 1.1 per cent this year to $359,100, while resales rises a tiny 0.3 per cent.

The RBC report shows that affordability has improved in almost all provinces and cities in the last quarter of 2011.

Manitoba was the only province to experience a slight deterioration in affordability, while Quebec’s index remained unchanged.

A very important point about the RBC report...
The RBC Affordability Index is based on current home prices and interest rates, but it also assumes a 20% down-payment. The vast majority of first-time home buyers put down much less than 20% (5% is most common), which means their mortgages -- and thus the fraction of their income going to housing costs -- is MUCH larger than the RBC Affordability Index assumes.
Mar 7, 2012 10:17 AM

Will An Open House Sell Your Home?

Excerpts from Moneyville
Will an open house help sell your home?

By Mark Weisleder | Fri Sep 2 2011
Comment (4)
Recommend (8)

I am often asked whether a seller should agree to open houses when they put their home up for sale. Some say it helps the agent find new clients and does nothing to sell the home. Others say it is necessary to find the largest number of potential buyers. Which is correct?

In practice, there are two kinds of open houses. One is limited to real estate agents, so they can conduct research in the area and be able to recommend the right homes to their buyer clients. The second is open to the general public. This can include nosy neighbours who just want to see your home, buyers who don’t have nearly enough money to consider putting in an offer and even criminals who are there to either steal something from the home during the open house or check out the security system so they can come back later.

Open houses will lead to more exposure for your home and more feedback from potential buyers. On the other hand, since we have so much information available to buyers on the Internet, such as video tours of the entire home, wouldn’t it make more sense to wait for a truly interested buyer to schedule a private appointment to see your home? That shows more commitment.

Still, in a seller’s market, where there are more buyers than available properties, open houses are a good idea so the maximum number of buyers can see the property in a very short time period.

If you do agree to conduct an open house, here are some tips:

• Make sure proper home staging is done in advance so your home appeals to the maximum number of potential buyers.

• Do not stay in the house during the open house. You are more than likely to volunteer too much information, including why you are selling. This will hurt your negotiating position later.

• Make sure your agent will be there the entire time.

• It is not against the law to ask for identification in order to allow someone to enter your home. If they refuse to provide it, tell your agent to refuse them entry.

• Sometimes criminals will come in pairs; while one distracts the salesperson, the other is going through drawers. If a lot of people are expected make sure your agent brings an assistant.

• Ask your agent to check all windows and doors before they leave your home to make sure everything is properly secured.

• Remove all valuables or store them in a safe, if you have one in the home. This includes your laptop and any discs that may have your personal information on them.

• Keep all of your bank and credit card statements out of view, as this could lead to identity theft if someone takes them.

• Take pictures of each room so you can check later if something is missing or damaged during the open house.

Whatever you decide regarding an open house, make sure you are properly prepared in advance.

Friday, February 17, 2012

Never Buy A House Without Home A Inspection

Never buy a house without a home inspection

February 17, 2012

Mark Weisleder

In Ontario's hot housing market buyers are being advised by agents to make 'clean' offers without home inspections. Don't do it.

Ontario’s hot housing market continues to spark bidding wars and, in many cases, buyers are being advised by agents to make “clean” offers to get the house they want.

By “clean”, the agent means an offer without any conditions in order to make it more acceptable to the seller. Big mistake. I constantly hear stories from ‘successful’ home buyers, who bought without an inspection. They later uncovered major problems, many of which could have been identified with a proper inspection. This meant large repair bills and unfortunate lawsuits involving unhappy buyers, sellers and real estate agents.

In a column last September, I wrote about the issue and offered a simple 20-item home inspection checklist for buyers. The home inspection system is far from perfect, but it is the best way to safeguard your interest.

Related: 20 things to look for in a home inspection

Inspections are imperfect because in most cases the inspector is not permitted to look behind walls or under floors which means many potential problems are hidden. But Andrew Radomski of Pillar to Post, a professional home inspection company, tells me that inspection firms can identify plenty of potential trouble spots. These include:

• Obsolete knob and tube wiring. This is found in homes built prior to the 1950s in most of the original City of Toronto. It is hard to get insurance if your home has knob and tube wiring.

• A 60-amp electrical service when the norm today is either 100 or 200. Again this will lead to higher insurance premiums.

• Old galvanized plumbing. It rusts, can leak and plug up, slowing water flow. Old lead pipes are a health risk.

• Any roof over 20 years old should probably be partially or completely replaced.

• Old foundations will gradually deteriorate, causing leaks, and are expensive to repair.

• Windows can be expensive to replace, if in poor condition.

Some firms use thermal imaging technology and, for an additional fee, can identify problems with the structure, moisture leakage or air leakage in a home. They can also better identify when there is insufficient insulation, plumbing leaks or poor construction, which can lead to problems down the road.

In some cases the seller will conduct a pre-listing inspection and make a summary of the results available to any interested buyer. A good idea, but as a buyer, you cannot rely just on this and should still conduct your own inspection. You do not know how thorough the inspection was and, more important, what qualifications the inspector had.

Some sellers try and create the atmosphere for bidding wars by saying that they will not accept any offers for a four- or five-day period. They hope that buyers will come in early, pay for a home inspection in advance and then be in a position to make an offer without any conditions. While this is better than doing no inspection at all, the disadvantage is that you may pay for this inspection but still not win the bidding war.

Related: 17 things to know about closing your house deal

And if you try and buy a home by yourself, without an agent, you had better find a home inspection company first and determine how much time they might need to do an inspection for you. Real estate agents work with many home inspection firms, so they can normally arrange for an inspection for buyers within forty-eight hours.

In Ontario, the home inspection industry needs to be licensed, as there are many inspectors today who do not have insurance in the event they make errors. British Columbia and Alberta have licensed inspectors.

Sellers, consider getting your home inspected before putting it up for sale and fix any problems that are identified. Don’t cover them up or you will face a lawsuit after closing.

Buyers, do not get pressured into making an offer without a home inspection condition, especially for older homes. I know the process can be frustrating, but it is better to be frustrated and lose a bidding war than to win a bidding war and pay more for it after closing.

More real estate columns by Mark Weisleder

Mark Weisleder is a real estate lawyer. mark@markweisleder.com.

Friday, February 10, 2012

New Building Awards Will Benefit Toronto

Richard Silver TREB President

President's Newspaper/Magazine Columns
Toronto SUN Column (as it appears each Friday in the Toronto Sun)
New Building Awards Will Benefit Our City

February 10, 2012 -- In recent months Canada has received high marks in a number of studies conducted by various international consulting firms including Forbes, FutureBrand and Reputation Institute. When it comes to doing business, branding, and reputation, our country has been rated number one in the world. As Torontonians, we should be proud of our contribution to such rankings. In fact, in an April 2011 study conducted by PriceWaterhouseCoopers, Toronto placed second only to New York as the world’s most successful city.

One key element that contributes to Toronto’s outstanding international reputation is development. We have for example, more condominium buildings currently under construction in Toronto than in any other city in North America. Trends like this one demonstrate the confidence that developers and consumers have in the Greater Toronto Area (GTA).

To recognize innovative Commercial buildings that contribute to our city, Greater Toronto REALTORS® have established the Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB) Commercial Building Awards, and to tell you more about them, I have invited the Chair of our Association’s Commercial Division Larry Purchase to share this column.

Throughout the next five months developers, architects and Greater Toronto REALTORS® will have the opportunity to nominate projects as part of the TREB Commercial Building Awards. Projects can be nominated in various categories as follows: Green, Industrial, Commercial Office, Commercial Residential, Multi-Residential and/or Institutional.

Nominated buildings, which must be located in the GTA and have been completed between January 2009 and November 2011, will be evaluated based on various criteria. These include the project’s sensitivity to the environment, its design and innovation, and its success in answering a specific developmental need in the community.

A panel of five judges will visit each of the nominated projects to assess overall exterior design and determine how each fits into its surrounding area. Once each of the sites has been visited, the judges will meet to select one new and one retrofit building for a TREB Commercial Building Award.

The selected projects will be announced at a special awards ceremony that will take place at the Toronto Real Estate Board offices on October 30, 2012.

By recognizing outstanding accomplishments in new and retrofit Commercial buildings, we hope to inspire others to continue to strive for excellence, as doing so contributes to the quality of life throughout the GTA and to our city’s strong international reputation. When we work together to make ours a better city, and take the time to recognize such efforts, we all win.

All completed entries for the TREB Commercial Building Awards must be received at the Toronto Real Estate Board no later than Friday, May 31, 2012 at 4:30 pm.

To download a nomination form please visit TREBCommercial.com

Richard Silver is President of the Toronto Real Estate Board, a professional association that represents 32,000 REALTORS® in the Greater Toronto Area.

Follow TREB on www.twitter.com/TREBhome, www.Facebook.com/TorontoRealEstateBoard and www.youtube.com/TREBChannel